Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.521896 0.580388 0.643564 0.717004 0.800195 0.891695 1.000214
2025-04-06 0.425091 0.504434 0.596726 0.712578 0.854903 1.025042 1.245326
2025-04-13 0.358435 0.443328 0.546900 0.683611 0.860870 1.085048 1.393390
2025-04-20 0.325209 0.416266 0.531859 0.691036 0.907139 1.194069 1.610201
2025-04-27 0.299634 0.394908 0.520042 0.698787 0.951420 1.301594 1.834137
2025-05-04 0.278182 0.376166 0.508779 0.704485 0.991261 1.404572 2.061101
2025-05-11 0.258939 0.358243 0.496297 0.706110 1.023818 1.498381 2.283250
2025-05-18 0.244447 0.345460 0.489454 0.714425 1.065848 1.609017 2.543027
2025-05-25 0.225147 0.323995 0.467948 0.698262 1.067844 1.656360 2.703632
2025-06-01 0.214962 0.315100 0.464157 0.708538 1.111782 1.774177 2.996227
2025-06-08 0.202054 0.301032 0.451237 0.702909 1.128665 1.847897 3.219015
2025-06-15 0.193250 0.292593 0.446279 0.709438 1.165934 1.959273 3.523139
2025-06-22 0.181377 0.278714 0.431986 0.699769 1.175267 2.023886 3.750489
2025-06-29 0.171591 0.267546 0.421304 0.695350 1.193433 2.106381 4.024250
2025-07-06 0.158160 0.249546 0.398084 0.667189 1.165764 2.100026 4.115768
2025-07-13 0.152410 0.243874 0.395079 0.674409 1.203967 2.223074 4.494345
2025-07-20 0.147157 0.238672 0.392448 0.681947 1.243216 2.351914 4.903299
2025-07-27 0.141958 0.233213 0.388950 0.687488 1.278875 2.476930 5.321391
2025-08-03 0.136508 0.226969 0.383621 0.689069 1.306613 2.588121 5.723336
2025-08-10 0.132416 0.222857 0.381805 0.697154 1.348163 2.732978 6.227925
2025-08-17 0.125171 0.212701 0.368346 0.681436 1.338664 2.764815 6.455850
2025-08-24 0.121979 0.209688 0.367872 0.691430 1.384545 2.925580 7.039347
2025-08-31 0.116927 0.202983 0.360058 0.685955 1.396306 3.009048 7.431315